Sunday, July 6, 2008

Does June Gloom = Equity Boom?

Apologies in advance for that awful title...

Yesterday's Barron's: The Bears Back post, along with friends "non-expert" advice all Holiday weekend that cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 market could only get worse, pushed me to do some analysis as to where we may be headed.

Dow's June was cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 8th worst month on record since 1940! Below is a breakdown of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 16 worst months over that time frame (16 allowed October AND November of 1987 to act as bookends, which I like for some reason), along with cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 corresponding 6 month / 1 year returns following those declines.

Are things as bad as cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y seem? Maybe not. On average, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 Dow was up 9.6% and 12.2% (over 6 and 12 months) respectively during those following periods.




Do I think cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 U.S. economy has seen cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 worst of it? I don't, but I think it may be time to get some skin back in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 equity game...

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