Wednesday, April 03, 2013

My Last Regular Blog Post

I started writing this blog because I just wanted a place to get things off my chest. To me, heaven isn't flow or sensual pleasure, but racá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r, like what Plato described at going on at his symposiums, discussions about ideas (with beer!). It's fun to figure things out.  Blogging was a good way to relieve that need while not burdening my family, neighbors, or coworkers with discussions on big issues.  I found I liked articulating my thoughts because writing a blog post forced me to clarify my thoughts cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 way having guests makes one clean one's house: what's acceptable for your own ego isn't acceptable for ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs.  That has made me a better man.  You write 1600 posts, get two million visitors, and it's a real opportunity to grow.

Yet, as an avocation, it's a costly hobby. I have work and family that creates a large opportunity cost.  Furcá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r, it can lead to distrust by colleagues, wary of having cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ir ideas broadcast to everyone.

Only in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 past couple of years, I've had an epiphany about my purpose in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 world, that what I know is 'enough.'  For decades I was just like this 9-year-old wondering what's important, why do people act like we do, what's my purpose.  Asking why is a big part of wisdom, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 difference between simply knowing how and what to do.  Yet, at some point you have to stop asking why because we can't know cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 ultimate why, and suffice with cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 motive that something you love appreciates you being a better person (God, family, friends, a dog); perhaps after we shuffle off this mortal coil it will all be explained, which would be nice, but in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 meantime if I try to make my dog, daughter, and creator happy by adopting cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 Nicomachean ethics, I'm probably pretty close to cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 ultimate truth.  I wish I appreciated more as a young man that ignorance is eternal, and your only duty is to lessen it every day, just as you work on all your virtues (empathy, tolerance, discipline, etc.). I can't figure it all out, but cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re's a point when you know enough to think your life has a purpose merely being a good mensch, and I'm glad to have figured that out. [editor note: I became a Christian in 2015, so I was clearly understating my existential doubts]


Just like where cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 Bible has a section on proverbs, I have been collecting favorite quotations, and at first, I tried to keep cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 list under 100 because I hate those really long lists ("Top 435 movies of all time"). Alas, I found it impossible to keep that list under 100 and so I'm now at 627 or so (see here).  For example, moderation in all things, or cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 idea that patterns usually don't scale, so communism works in a family but not society, etc. Perhaps most importantly, every argument has a premise, but no premise underlies all arguments, which is why we need lots of aphorisms.

Then cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re are ideas which often can't be reduced to a simple quote, like statistics, so my list of Essential Life Axioms is somewhere in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 thousands.  When did this knowledge achieve critical mass and give me peace? Perhaps a couple of years ago when things finally came togecá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r and I thought, I really am comfortable with cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 stoic guide to life. Things seem to make sense, I should try to empathize with ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs, do my best at what I do best, and try to be a little better person every day.

My best idea pertains to cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 risk premium, and I argue this point racá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r tersely in my book The Missing Risk Premium. A big idea hits cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 triumvirate of truth, novelty, and importance. It's new (I documented cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 fact in my 1994 dissertation--which was soundly rejected by all cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 big minds back cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365n, highlighting it's always a combination of what you know and who you know--I wrote out a novel explanation in 2006, which was pulled into my legal fight, and so it's racá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r ironic that much of that was predicated on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 idea that low vol investing was verboten to me, as if I didn't have prior use and it wasn't public knowledge. The idea is important (much of finance revolves around risk premium, economics is based on a conception of utility maximization I contrast with), and it's true, it explains more of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 data:
  • Most asset's don't show a higher average return for higher volatility assets
    • Any plausible risk factor will be correlated with total volatility in general
  • Those few assets that do show a seemingly textbook risk premium never generalize, it's not cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 covariance that is key (eg, lots of things correlate with cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 AAA-BBB spread without a return premium).
  • Unlike ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r explanations, my cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ory is an equilibrium one, it does not imply it's easy to sell people on higher Sharpe strategies
  • It's more consistent with primate culture and human Universals
  • It's more evolutionarily robust
  • It's got neurological correlates that cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 standard cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ory does not
  • Consistent with data on happiness 
 Like most humans, I have lots of decent little ideas too, some better than ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs, and I think I should focus cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365se more at work. The ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r big ideas I prefer I cribbed from ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs, and while I like spreading cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 gospel sometimes, it's not something that gives me extended satisfaction.

Going forward I might blog once every couple weeks, just out of habit.

I want to say an especially fond farewell to those I've come to know via my blogging, even if it's just a cantankerous pseudonym.  Happiness is multiplied when shared with friends, and a shared worldview that reminds you aren't insane.

Gunga Galunga and thanks for reading.

46 comments:

Berend de Boer said...

Well, this reader hopes it indeed isn't cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 end of your writing!

Anonymous said...

"Thus, I've become less enamored with trying to change opinions, because ideas need a zeitgeist, and if that's not fertile nothing you say will matter"

Profound insight Falken. Your last book was fantastic. Will miss cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 regular blog posts.

Nat Stewart

Anonymous said...

You don't have to write big posts, you know. It's cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 twitter age. Your link to cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 chimp TED talk with cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 two line lead-in is something I wouldn't have found ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rwise, yet it fascinated me.

Vic said...

Will very much miss your wisdom.

What if (or racá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r when) Taleb publishes a new book - where will I turn for witty takedown?

John said...

I've always been a fan. You will be missed.

Anonymous said...

I do not think I've ever left a comment, but it is more than appropriate to let you know how much I've appreciated your writing.

Over time reading this blog has felt like winning cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 lottery but keeping it secret. I haven't known many people for whom your intellectually diverse subjects would appeal to. This means I haven't really found it easy to share with ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs. And yet cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re aren't any remotely comparable blogs out cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re, so this website will always be a treasure to have.

John Vos said...

Eric, I discovered your blog only quite recently but it’s been a great source of inspiration, and your splendidly sublime post on The Black Swan was even one of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 key articles that inspired me to start a blog of my own (quixoticfinance.com). I recognize cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 nagging feeling: “Does anything I do change anything? Did I ever convince anyone?”
It’s impossible to convince a radical - cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y are cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 ones you hear most often from. But cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re are thousands of people out cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re who haven’t made up cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ir minds yet, and cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y just need one sound argument, one solid fact to be persuaded. When cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y happen to find your blog, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y don’t always write back to say thanks, but cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y are thankful nonecá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365less. So am I.

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Greg said...

Yours has been my single favourite blog of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 last few years, and this last post is a classic example of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 genre. Sad to see you cutting down, but good luck with those small ideas.

Dave Pinsen said...

Quite a valedictory post, Eric. Some good nuggets cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re.

I'll second cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 anonymous commenter's suggestion about Twitter. If you're not on it yet, give it a shot. It requires much less time commitment, and it's a good medium for sharing short ideas, observations, and links, with a bit of commentary thrown in.

Anonymous said...

booo. blog suicide.
send me cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 quotes list at least. artvandalays at gmail

Jon said...

Thanks for all cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 posts - cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 blog (and books) have made for great reading cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365se past few years.

Stephen Hablinski said...

I have read you daily for about three years now. Thanks for cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 ideas, Eric.

Anonymous said...

Keep checking in. You will be missed.

Anonymous said...

You had a good run, Eric. Thanks for your work. Looking forward to your papers.

Joyce Matcá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ws said...

I'll join cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 chorus here in saying thanks and I'll truly miss your regular postings on all subjects.

Anonymous said...

Very sad to hear it. Love reading your posts. I hope you continue, even if in a more limited fashion, or if you just post links to interesting articles you read.

Thanks for your effort and time, it is much appreciated.

Anonymous said...

Best wishes Eric, you have provided a consistently stimulating blog.

Anonymous said...

Eric, thanks for all of your writing over cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 years. I have truly enjoyed reading your blog, which has made me challenge my own views on more than a few issues. I hope you continue to post from time to time, and as ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs have pointed out, twitter may be a less time-consuming medium for you. All cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 best.

Tim O'Brien

Michael Stack said...

i will really miss your writing. Best of luck, I hope you change your mind!

Anonymous said...

Thank you very much for your contributions. I did log in to check my starred google reader items - stuff I liked enough to want to come back to. Your posts were more than half... A few of my favorites:
- Spin-off anomaly
- wittiest sentences I read all year
- Taking offense is not righteous.

Best of luck!

Jessie said...

Internet just died... :)

You should do a top 100 list of interesting books/articles you found over time that made an impact on your life

Just to keep us occupied

GL in life

JoshK said...

Eric, I've really enjoyed your blog and will miss it. You are by far one of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 best financie and economics writers out cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re. And I you have done a great job on topics outside of finance as well and have brought some great insights that affect my thoughts on a personal leve.

FWIW, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re's a Jewish saying "at forty for strength and fifty for wisdom".

Anonymous said...

Thank you for cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 writing that you have done. Your insights, esp. on envy have given me much to ponder.

Best wishes for you future.

Jim

Aaron Brown said...

Farewell to cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 blog. It was always interesting, usually right. I predict you will be back in an evolved form soon.

Anonymous said...

Aw man.

Ben said...

Thank you for writing.

Mercury said...

EF:

Clearly this is part of a conspiracy to reallocate my time make myself more productive at work/life and I resent that even though it will probably end up doing me some good.

Sometimes I have felt guilty for inserting my two cents here so frequently but you write about such interesting topics I can’t seem to help myself. Also, it’s a little humbling when anocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r person of a similar age suddenly announces in a businesslike manner that cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y have attained Wisdom and will henceforth refrain from correcting wrongheaded people on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 internet. I’m still trying to perfect a system for organizing and keeping track of my dirty-work, work-work and casual wear socks.

I too would like to petition for cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 quotations list (mercury21c@live.com) – maybe you could auto-post/tweet one a day for cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 next couple of years or something. I must say that a complaint I’ve heard quite a bit recently from thinkers and writers I respect run along cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 lines of: “I feel like I’ve said all that I have to say and I just end up repeating myself and refighting cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 same old battles etc.” Maybe cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 medium of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 internet accelerates things to that point quicker than ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rwise would be cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 case or has been cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 case in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 past but cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re seems to be a high correlation between that complaint and cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 quality of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 complainer’s output.

Looking forward to what/whenever you write next.

Thanks for cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 alpha,

Mercury

BRM said...

I always fear cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365se somewhat inevitable farewell posts from cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 independent (non-commercially-affiliated) blogs that I've ready for some time. I regret seeing yours in my RSS feed more than I would most.

Thanks for all cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 thought provocation you've provided. I hope cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 additional time you have for ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r things proves as worthwhile as I'm sure it will.

All cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 best,

Brian Murphy

AndyinSanDiego said...

I've been reading your blog for about four years now and enjoyed every second of it. I cannot begin to count cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 times I've quoted your writing to a family member, roommate or friend. Sad to see cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 blog is slowing down. Best of luck!

Anonymous said...

Thanks for all cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 entertainment. yours is one of my farvorite blogs.

Paul

Michael Meyers said...

Thanks for all your effort in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 past... I'll miss you!

Anonymous #5 said...

Thank you for your writing. I'm on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 opposite end of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 political spectrum from you (and accordingly I'm surely we've never changed our minds about anything) but I've always enjoyed your blog and I really appreciate your reflections on purpose and meaning. Good luck.

S. B. said...

I have lurked here for several years, reading everything but never commenting. I suppose this is what it takes for some of us to come out of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 woodwork. I have learned much here, and on many days, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 sarcasm in some of your posts brought an audible chuckle from me during an ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rwise dull day. I wish you all cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 best and hope that you'll still continue to post sporadically.

Caste Troll said...

Thanks Eric. I too am among cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 lucky ones following your blog for cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 last three years. I have been on a fascinating ride for cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 last three years and went through a similar philosophical awakening in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365se years where your blog has provided excellent company. I am appalled how today, macá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365matics and ideology has replaced philosophy in all economics analysis. Nietzsche's wisdom has been completely shunned and cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 world is on a giant liberal ride to cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 next equilibrium which will undoubtedly be chaotic. i guess cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 bottom line is it is simply Nature at work and it has to do what it has to do, to make sure only cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 fittest survive. Whatever fittest means today.

Good Luck and Thanks.

Unknown said...

April fool's!

Unknown said...

Really enjoyed your "Regular Blog Posts". Can wait for your "Irregular Blog Posts"!

Anonymous said...

Eric,
I will miss your blog.
Anonymous

$9,000,000,000 Write Off said...

You got all 3 of my kids into Kumon, so your legacy lives.

$9,000,000,000 Write Off said...

My daughter wanted to add a few words:

It's your fault we are in Kumon. It really helps me, but it's torture.

RB said...

Hi Eric,
I was not familiar with your past posts, so I looked through a few like this one:
http://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2008/05/skeptic-magazine-pokes-holes-in-global.html

In that you say:
" But CO2 is only 0.036% of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 atmosphere, and that is only 15% of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 greenhouse gasses (water vapor and methane being cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 most). As humans only produce 2% of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 CO2 annually (most is from water evaporation), I think its reasonable to assume that cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 natural variability of CO2 makes it difficult to assert that human activity is directly causing cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 temperature increase. After all, historically, you can't really infer from ice core samples whecá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 CO2 temperature relation is driven by cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 temperature causing CO2 to rise (say, via a Milkankovitch cycle), or vice versa. Furcá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re is cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 natural variability in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r greenhouses gases. "

There are so many errors in this post. Firstly, as we understand it dominant greenhouse effect is due to water vapor in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 form of vapor or clouds, but water vapor cannot be a forcing agent because of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 reduced lifetime in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 atmosphere (a few days) compared to CO2 (which is essentially for centuries and fractionally for millennia). Secondly, I don't understand how water evaporation causes an increase in atmospheric CO2. Thirdly, we know that cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 CO2 increase is mainly due to human activity by measurement of isotopes. Fourthly, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 percentage of CO2 in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 atmosphere in no way is representative of its impact just as inhaling an mG of cyanide is not a good idea. Fifthly, you seem to have some erroneous views on optical depth. I recommend reading this entire series:
http://scienceofdoom.com/2010/02/05/co2-an-insignificant-trace-gas-part-four/
So, you are right that "people can't help but let cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ir higher preferences guide this weighting" and this statement comes to mind:
"Public intellectuals mainly project cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ir deepest flaws onto ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs. "

BTW,I bought your book and it has some interesting ideas. Cheers for your blog-retirement!

Anonymous said...

Eric-
I have enjoyed reading your thoughts; especially on greed versus envy which is an area of interest to me. You have helped provide needed rigor to my thinking.

Unanimous said...


I enjoy your posts - very thoughtful and full of insight. It's a pitty that you are cutting back, but I will certainly continue to check in hopes of more gems.

There's anocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r blog "Interfuidity", which only has new posts once every two to four weeks, but cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y are usually worth waiting for, and it has a significant following. Hopefully you'll feel cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 urge every now and cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365n to post when a suitable thought takes hold.

Possibly I think your views on status and people comparing cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365mselves to ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r people are even more significant than you do. You've got to cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 heart I think of why groups aren't just a bunch of individuals. Groups function in ways that do not average out or sum cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 behaviour of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 individuals in cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 group, and it's due to individuals copying what ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r individuals do.

It seems to explain cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 very skewed income and geographical distributions that we have. Everyone wants to be watching cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 same movies, living in close proximity to each ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r, renovating cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ir houses in similar styles as ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r people. This focusses demand in a chaotic way onto particular products and locations, and results in some people doing massively well while most people don't.

It's almost enough to convince me to become a socialist. Possibly you'll get me cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re with a few more posts.

Anonymous said...

Well - i want to say thank you.

It was always an inspiring pleasure to to take a look at your blog!

Greetings from Germany.

Armin

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Anonymous said...

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Irregular is fine for me.