Showing posts with label intel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label intel. Show all posts

Sunday, October 30, 2011

The rise and fall of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 great companies...

It is very interesting to read news about Apple's and ARM's successes on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 market on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 one hand, and cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 fall and strugle of some of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 undisputed rulers of computing and consumer markets of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 not so distant past. Actually, I first think about computing markets, but since it seems that computing market penetrated consumer market and it's hard to distinguish cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 two, I'll treat cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365m combined.

The main premise of this post is that it seems to me that company's long term success depends on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 ability of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 top management to anticipate future trends. Let me try to explain that in some more details.

I could start with cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 illustrations from many time points. For example, DEC. DEC rose from cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 change cause by cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 invention of minicomputers. But DEC, as later IBM too, failed to anticipate cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 rise of personal computers and it costed it its existence (probably along with ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r management failures).

Then, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re was IBM too. In 70-ties it was said that no one has been fired because of buying IBM equipment. IBM's mistake was also that it didn't foresaw personal computers. True, it did make PC and it also make it possible for ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs to produce PC clones. But that's all, and when cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y saw cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365ir mistake, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y tried with PS/2 series, which was failure! Anyway, two giants emerged riding on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 wave of PC revolution, Intel and Microsoft, frequently called Wintel. Transition period was 80-ties, and cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 world domination came in 90-ties. In those times, cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365re were many players, among ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365rs HP, Compaq, AMD, Dell. All of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365m, more or less, managed to profit from PC sales. There was also Apple. Apple succeeded during 80-ties to position itself as a producer of successful workstations with GUI, but because it was expensive it was always niche, and because it was niche, it fall down during 90-ties. Possibly, it was also a lack of vision, but I think that somehow cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 main reason is that at that time computers were used by people that know something about computers and which wanted something cheap and rarely cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y were thinking about cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 design.

So, at cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 end of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 90-ties Microsoft was on a height of its power along with Intel. And very few people, including myself, saw anything that would change that any time soon. But cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365n, something happened that triggered cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 change. Actually, we can see two different things that caused two different effects. Basically, two changes happened that damaged existing companies and allowed new ones to appear and/or rise.

The first one was cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 fusion of mobile phones and computers, and penetration of computers into consumer markets! Intel and, especially Microsoft, were caught unprepared. They didn't have adequate products for that segment of market, and what cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y had wasn't marketed appropriately. In a way cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365y were prisoners of desktop mentality. Apple on cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 ocá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365r hand had Steve Jobs that not only foresaw this coming, but in a way was cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 initiator of this change! This change cause damage to Intel and Microsoft. Intel was producing desktop and server processors, and had no product for mobile phone. Here ARM benefited. And not only that ARM dominates mobile phone markets (by mobile phones I also mean tablets and such) but this momentum is allowing cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365m to slowly enter cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 server markets too (e.g. read this)! Now both, Intel and Microsoft, are trying to catch that wave.

The second wave is cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 shift from computer production to services. Mass computer production become less and less profitable, and notebook market is rising. The exemption here are high end Unix servers (and partially Windows server). That change was foreseen by Samuel Palmisano. He oriented IBM from mainly computer production company to services company. One of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 notable steps he did is when he sold Thinkpad brand to Lenovo. Of course, IBM still produces high end Unix servers and mainframes. Anyway, that brought IBM from its knees to become stronger than Microsoft, something unimaginable 10 years ago.

It's very interesting to watch what's happening because it seems to me that this is in a way comparable to a fall of great empires of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 past, and USA of lately. :) It's also interesting to find out how to predict those changes, because who manages to predicts cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 changes that will come, will have a chance to rule cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 global market of cá cược thể thao bet365_cách nạp tiền vào bet365_ đăng ký bet365 future.

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scientist, consultant, security specialist, networking guy, system administrator, philosopher ;)

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